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Tuesday, April 7, 2026
15 games on the slate · 10 high-edge games
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● 10 High
● 4 Medium
● 1 Low
Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox
Trevor Rogers vs Shane Smith · 2026-04-07T19:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Weather unavailable
Pitcher fip gap of 4.0 points favors the away starter
Pick: Chicago White Sox +1.5
Model Estimate: 19.4% edge
Units: 0.5
Philadelphia Phillies @ San Francisco Giants
Cristopher Sanchez vs Robbie Ray · 2026-04-08T01:45Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Weather unavailable
Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the away starter. away traveled 2515mi
Pick: San Francisco Giants +1.5
Model Estimate: 16.7% edge
Units: 0.5
Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians
Noah Cameron vs Gavin Williams · 2026-04-07T17:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Weather unavailable
Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter
Pick: Cleveland Guardians +1.5
Model Estimate: 15.1% edge
Units: 0.5
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers
George Kirby vs Nathan Eovaldi · 2026-04-08T00:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Away traveled 1668mi
Pick: Texas Rangers +1.5
Model Estimate: 14.4% edge
Units: 0.5
Milwaukee Brewers @ Boston Red Sox
Jacob Misiorowski vs Garrett Crochet · 2026-04-07T22:45Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Weather unavailable
Model finds strong 12.9% edge in this matchup
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
Model Estimate: 12.9% edge
Units: 0.5
Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Angels
Reynaldo Lopez vs Yusei Kikuchi · 2026-04-08T01:38Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Weather unavailable
Away traveled 1915mi
Pick: Los Angeles Angels +1.5
Model Estimate: 12.5% edge
Units: 0.5
St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals
Matthew Liberatore vs Cade Cavalli · 2026-04-07T22:45Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Weather unavailable
Pitcher fip gap of 2.5 points favors the home starter
Pick: OVER 7.5
Model Estimate: 12.3% edge
Units: 0.5
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays
Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Kevin Gausman · 2026-04-07T23:07Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter. away traveled 2170mi
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
Model Estimate: 11.8% edge
Units: 0.5
San Diego Padres @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Nick Pivetta vs Paul Skenes · 2026-04-07T22:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Weather unavailable
Away traveled 2112mi
Pick: San Diego Padres +1.5
Model Estimate: 11.3% edge
Units: 0.5
Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins
Tarik Skubal vs Taj Bradley · 2026-04-07T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Weather unavailable
Model finds strong 10.0% edge in this matchup
Pick: Minnesota Twins +1.5
Model Estimate: 10.0% edge
Units: 0.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins
Andrew Abbott vs Sandy Alcantara · 2026-04-07T22:40Z
MEDIUM
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter
Pick: UNDER 7.0
Model Estimate: 8.0% edge
Units: 0.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Mets
Zac Gallen vs Freddy Peralta · 2026-04-07T20:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Weather unavailable
Away traveled 2147mi
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
Model Estimate: 6.9% edge
Units: 0.25
Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies
Mike Burrows vs Kyle Freeland · 2026-04-08T00:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Weather unavailable
Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the home starter
Pick: Colorado Rockies +1.5
Model Estimate: 6.9% edge
Units: 0.25
Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays
Javier Assad vs Drew Rasmussen · 2026-04-07T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds lean 6.4% edge in this matchup
Pick: Chicago Cubs +1.5
Model Estimate: 6.4% edge
Units: 0.25
Athletics @ New York Yankees
Aaron Civale vs Cam Schlittler · 2026-04-07T23:05Z
LOW
SKIP
–
warning Weather unavailable
Pitcher fip gap of 3.1 points favors the home starter. away traveled 2557mi
Pick: Athletics +1.5
Model Estimate: 4.3% edge
Units: 0.02
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 10 high-edge games across today's 15-game slate
- Strongest signal: BAL at CWS with 19.4% model edge
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