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Thursday, April 9, 2026
6 games on the slate · 1 high-edge game
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● 1 High
● 5 Medium
● 0 Low
Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals
Anthony Kay vs Seth Lugo · 2026-04-09T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 66°F, 12mph S (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 4.9 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (66°f)
Pick: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 11.6% edge
Units: 0.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Mets
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Nolan McLean · 2026-04-09T23:10Z
MEDIUM
STRONG
–
warning 34°F, 4mph SE (calm)
Model finds strong 9.9% edge in this matchup
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
Model Estimate: 9.9% edge
Units: 0.5
Athletics @ New York Yankees
Jeffrey Springs vs Ryan Weathers · 2026-04-09T17:35Z
MEDIUM
STRONG
–
warning 34°F, 3mph SE (calm)
Model finds strong 9.5% edge in this matchup
Pick: Athletics +1.5
Model Estimate: 9.5% edge
Units: 0.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins
Rhett Lowder vs Max Meyer · 2026-04-09T16:10Z
MEDIUM
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds strong 9.2% edge in this matchup
Pick: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 9.2% edge
Units: 0.5
Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins
Jack Flaherty vs Mick Abel · 2026-04-09T17:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 37°F, 15mph NW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (37°f)
Pick: Minnesota Twins +1.5
Model Estimate: 7.1% edge
Units: 0.25
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres
None vs Randy Vasquez · 2026-04-10T01:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 63°F, 4mph NW (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.0 points favors the home starter
Pick: Colorado Rockies +1.5
Model Estimate: 6.6% edge
Units: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 1 high-edge games across today's 6-game slate
- Strongest signal: CWS at KC with 11.6% model edge
- 2 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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