● 0 High
● 5 Medium
● 0 Low
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies
Justin Wrobleski vs Jose Quintana · 2026-04-21T00:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 7mph E (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the away starter. day after night
Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
Model Estimate: 7.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals
Bryce Elder vs Jake Irvin · 2026-04-20T22:45Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 53°F, 11mph NW (crosswind)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.0 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (53°f)
Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model Estimate: 7.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs
Aaron Nola vs Colin Rea · 2026-04-20T23:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 48°F, 10mph SE (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (48°f)
Forecast: Chicago Cubs +1.5
Model Estimate: 6.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Cincinnati Reds @ Tampa Bay Rays
Rhett Lowder vs TBD · 2026-04-20T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds lean 6.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Cincinnati Reds -1.5
Model Estimate: 6.1% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels
Dylan Cease vs Reid Detmers · 2026-04-21T01:38Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 67°F, 9mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (67°f). away traveled 2161mi
Forecast: Los Angeles Angels +1.5
Model Estimate: 5.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 0 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
- Strongest signal: LAD at COL with 7.9% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
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