● 2 High
● 3 Medium
● 0 Low
San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies
Walker Buehler vs Tomoyuki Sugano · 2026-04-23T00:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 77°F, 13mph W (crosswind)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (77°f)
Forecast: UNDER 12.0
Model Estimate: 23.3% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals
Martin Perez vs Zack Littell · 2026-04-22T22:45Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 76°F, 5mph NE (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.6 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model Estimate: 18.6% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Milwaukee Brewers @ Detroit Tigers
Chad Patrick vs Casey Mize · 2026-04-22T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 73°F, 8mph E (calm)
Model finds lean 9.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers (+113)
Model Estimate: 9.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Cincinnati Reds @ Tampa Bay Rays
Brandon Williamson vs Nick Martinez · 2026-04-22T17:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds lean 9.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Cincinnati Reds (+117)
Model Estimate: 9.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins
Kyle Leahy vs Janson Junk · 2026-04-22T16:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds lean 8.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Miami Marlins -1.5
Model Estimate: 8.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 2 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
- Strongest signal: SD at COL with 23.3% model edge
- Model leans underdog in 2 high-edge spots
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