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Friday, April 24, 2026

6 games on the slate · 1 high-confidence game

1 High 5 Medium 0 Low

Washington Nationals @ Chicago White Sox

Miles Mikolas vs Bryan Hudson · 2026-04-24T23:40Z

HIGH STRONG warning 59°F, 6mph E (calm), 81% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Chicago White Sox -1.5 Model Estimate: 25.2% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.5

Cleveland Guardians @ Toronto Blue Jays

Gavin Williams vs Max Scherzer · 2026-04-24T23:07Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 Model Estimate: 9.8% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Jameson Taillon vs Emmet Sheehan · 2026-04-25T02:15Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 64°F, 8mph SW (calm), 67% humidity

Away traveled 1741mi

Forecast: Chicago Cubs (+139) Model Estimate: 8.7% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds

Framber Valdez vs Andrew Abbott · 2026-04-24T22:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 83°F, 11mph SW (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (83°f)

Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5 Model Estimate: 7.3% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

Andrew Painter vs Grant Holmes · 2026-04-24T23:15Z

MEDIUM LEAN

Model finds lean 7.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Philadelphia Phillies (+124) Model Estimate: 7.0% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

Athletics @ Texas Rangers

Luis Severino vs Nathan Eovaldi · 2026-04-25T00:05Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral

Model finds lean 6.3% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Texas Rangers -1.5 Model Estimate: 6.3% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 1 high-edge games across today's 6-game slate
  • Strongest signal: WSH at CWS with 25.2% model edge

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