● 7 High
● 3 Medium
● 0 Low
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks
German Marquez vs Zac Gallen · 2026-04-25T22:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the home starter
Forecast: UNDER 15.5
Model Estimate: 24.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
New York Yankees @ Houston Astros
Ryan Weathers vs Mike Burrows · 2026-04-25T23:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the away starter
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 22.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Colin Rea vs Roki Sasaki · 2026-04-25T23:15Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 56°F, 12mph W (blowing out), 83% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.6 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (56°f)
Forecast: UNDER 9.5
Model Estimate: 19.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Cleveland Guardians @ Toronto Blue Jays
Joey Cantillo vs Kevin Gausman · 2026-04-25T19:07Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds strong 19.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 19.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Minnesota Twins @ Tampa Bay Rays
Bailey Ober vs Shane McClanahan · 2026-04-25T20:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds strong 19.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 19.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
Mitch Keller vs Jacob Misiorowski · 2026-04-25T23:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds strong 17.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 17.6% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
Garrett Crochet vs Trevor Rogers · 2026-04-25T16:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 66°F, 12mph E (crosswind)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (66°f)
Forecast: Baltimore Orioles +1.5
Model Estimate: 14.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.2
Washington Nationals @ Chicago White Sox
Jake Irvin vs Noah Schultz · 2026-04-25T20:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 46°F, 14mph N (crosswind), 91% humidity
Weather factor in play (46°f)
Forecast: Chicago White Sox -1.5
Model Estimate: 9.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.2
Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals
Walbert Urena vs Cole Ragans · 2026-04-25T23:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 77°F, 9mph SE (crosswind)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (77°f)
Forecast: Los Angeles Angels +1.5
Model Estimate: 7.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.2
Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets
Jose Quintana vs Kodai Senga · 2026-04-25T20:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 44°F, 8mph E (crosswind), 81% humidity
Weather factor in play (44°f). away traveled 1635mi
Forecast: Colorado Rockies +1.5
Model Estimate: 6.1% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.2
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 7 high-edge games across today's 10-game slate
- Strongest signal: SD at AZ with 24.8% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot
Unlock all 10 forecasts
Every forecast, confidence rating, and model context — 7 days free, then $4.99 for the first paid month and $9.99/month afterward.