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Friday, May 1, 2026

6 games on the slate · 4 high-confidence games

4 High 2 Medium 0 Low

Cleveland Guardians @ Athletics

Joey Cantillo vs J.T. Ginn · 2026-05-02T01:40Z

HIGH STRONG warning 80°F, 10mph SW (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (80°f). away traveled 2151mi

Pick: UNDER 9.5 Model Edge: 29.0% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs

Zac Gallen vs Colin Rea · 2026-05-01T18:20Z

HIGH STRONG warning 44°F, 8mph NE (calm), 78% humidity

Model finds strong 19.9% edge in this matchup

Pick: Chicago Cubs -1.5 Model Edge: 19.9% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins

Patrick Corbin vs Simeon Woods Richardson · 2026-05-02T00:10Z

HIGH STRONG warning 51°F, 7mph N (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.4 points favors the away starter. day after night

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 Model Edge: 15.3% Unit Sizing: 0.4

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Brady Singer vs Mitch Keller · 2026-05-01T22:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 50°F, 8mph SW (blowing out), 76% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (50°f)

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 Model Edge: 13.1% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres

Noah Schultz vs Germán Márquez · 2026-05-02T01:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 65°F, 6mph W (calm), 80% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the away starter. away traveled 1731mi

Pick: San Diego Padres -1.5 Model Edge: 6.4% Unit Sizing: 0.12

Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies

Grant Holmes vs Jose Quintana · 2026-05-02T00:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 62°F, 10mph NE (blowing in)

Day after night

Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Model Edge: 6.0% Unit Sizing: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 6-game slate
  • Strongest signal: CLE at OAK with 29.0% model edge
  • 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

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