● 10 High
● 1 Medium
● 0 Low
Cleveland Guardians @ Athletics
Slade Cecconi vs Jacob Lopez · 2026-05-02T20:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
Away traveled 2151mi
Forecast: UNDER 10.0
Model Estimate: 24.7% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies
Chris Sale vs Chase Dollander · 2026-05-03T00:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
Model finds strong 20.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Colorado Rockies +1.5
Model Estimate: 20.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs
Ryne Nelson vs Shota Imanaga · 2026-05-02T18:20Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
Pitcher fip gap of 3.4 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Model Estimate: 19.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals
Roki Sasaki vs Michael McGreevy · 2026-05-02T23:15Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
Pitcher fip gap of 2.7 points favors the home starter. away traveled 1586mi
Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
Model Estimate: 19.7% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Rhett Lowder vs Carmen Mlodzinski · 2026-05-02T20:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
Model finds strong 19.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 19.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers
Kumar Rocker vs Keider Montero · 2026-05-02T23:15Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
Model finds strong 17.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.5
Model Estimate: 17.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox
Spencer Arrighetti vs Connelly Early · 2026-05-02T20:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
Away traveled 1601mi
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 16.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels
Nolan McLean vs Reid Detmers · 2026-05-03T01:38Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
Away traveled 2441mi
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 16.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
Kyle Bradish vs Ryan Weathers · 2026-05-02T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
Model finds lean 14.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5
Model Estimate: 14.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins
Andrew Painter vs Max Meyer · 2026-05-02T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 13.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Miami Marlins -1.5
Model Estimate: 13.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners
Seth Lugo vs Emerson Hancock · 2026-05-03T01:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.0 points favors the away starter. away traveled 1508mi
Forecast: Seattle Mariners -1.5
Model Estimate: 7.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 10 high-edge games across today's 11-game slate
- Strongest signal: CLE at OAK with 24.7% model edge
Unlock all 11 forecasts
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