● 6 High
● 1 Medium
● 0 Low
Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees
Jacob deGrom vs Elmer Rodríguez · 2026-05-05T23:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 80°F, 15mph S (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (80°f)
Pick: New York Yankees -1.5
Model Edge: 22.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.4
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros
Shohei Ohtani vs Peter Lambert · 2026-05-06T00:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds strong 20.1% edge in this matchup
Pick: Houston Astros +1.5
Model Edge: 20.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
Andrew Abbott vs Jameson Taillon · 2026-05-05T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 52°F, 8mph SE (calm)
Model finds strong 18.4% edge in this matchup
Pick: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Model Edge: 18.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins
Chris Bassitt vs Sandy Alcantara · 2026-05-05T22:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds strong 17.5% edge in this matchup
Pick: Miami Marlins -1.5
Model Edge: 17.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels
Erick Fedde vs Sam Aldegheri · 2026-05-06T01:38Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 65°F, 10mph SW (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (65°f)
Pick: Chicago White Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 16.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
Kevin Gausman vs Drew Rasmussen · 2026-05-05T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 13.6% edge in this matchup
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Model Edge: 13.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Jovani Morán vs Framber Valdez · 2026-05-05T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 60°F, 9mph SW (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (60°f)
Pick: Detroit Tigers -1.5
Model Edge: 7.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
- Strongest signal: TEX at NYY with 22.5% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
Unlock all 7 picks
Every pick, unit sizing note, and model context — 1 day free, then $9.99/month unless canceled.