● 7 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies
J.T. Ginn vs Andrew Painter · 2026-05-07T22:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 64°F, 8mph NW (calm)
Away traveled 2506mi
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 19.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals
Slade Cecconi vs Seth Lugo · 2026-05-07T18:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 63°F, 15mph SW (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.4 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (63°f)
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 19.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Mitch Keller vs Zac Gallen · 2026-05-07T19:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Away traveled 1824mi
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 19.3% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees
MacKenzie Gore vs Paul Blackburn · 2026-05-07T16:35Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 58°F, 9mph NW (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (58°f)
Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5
Model Estimate: 18.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres
Matthew Liberatore vs Michael King · 2026-05-08T02:00Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 65°F, 5mph NW (calm), 76% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.7 points favors the home starter. away traveled 1561mi
Forecast: San Diego Padres -1.5
Model Estimate: 14.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
Rhett Lowder vs Shota Imanaga · 2026-05-07T18:20Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 57°F, 7mph W (calm)
Model finds lean 13.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Model Estimate: 13.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins
Cade Povich vs Max Meyer · 2026-05-07T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Miami Marlins -1.5
Model Estimate: 13.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 7 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
- Strongest signal: OAK at PHI with 19.8% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
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