● 5 High
● 3 Medium
● 0 Low
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres
Michael McGreevy vs Griffin Canning · 2026-05-09T01:45Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 66°F, 6mph NW (calm), 82% humidity
Away traveled 1561mi
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 24.3% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox
Emerson Hancock vs Sean Burke · 2026-05-08T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 61°F, 10mph E (blowing in), 69% humidity
Away traveled 1734mi
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 23.1% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals
Keider Montero vs Kris Bubic · 2026-05-08T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 71°F, 8mph W (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (71°f)
Forecast: UNDER 8.5
Model Estimate: 20.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies
Chase Dollander vs Jesús Luzardo · 2026-05-08T22:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 69°F, 14mph W (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (69°f). away traveled 1575mi
Forecast: Colorado Rockies +1.5
Model Estimate: 19.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
New York Yankees @ Milwaukee Brewers
Max Fried vs Jacob Misiorowski · 2026-05-08T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds strong 15.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 7.0
Model Estimate: 15.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Houston Astros @ Cincinnati Reds
Mike Burrows vs Nick Lodolo · 2026-05-08T22:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 11mph SW (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (70°f)
Forecast: Cincinnati Reds -1.5
Model Estimate: 9.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.2
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Connor Prielipp vs Parker Messick · 2026-05-08T23:15Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 53°F, 10mph SW (blowing out), 81% humidity
Weather factor in play (53°f)
Forecast: Cleveland Guardians -1.5
Model Estimate: 9.6% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
Foster Griffin vs Robby Snelling · 2026-05-08T23:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 5.7% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Miami Marlins -1.5
Model Estimate: 5.7% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.2
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 5 high-edge games across today's 8-game slate
- Strongest signal: STL at SD with 24.3% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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