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Monday, May 11, 2026

3 games on the slate · 0 high-confidence games

● 0 High ● 3 Medium ● 0 Low

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

George Kirby vs Peter Lambert · 2026-05-12T00:10Z

MEDIUM LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Away traveled 1889mi

Forecast: Houston Astros +1.5 Model Estimate: 6.6% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Trevor McDonald vs Roki Sasaki · 2026-05-12T02:10Z

MEDIUM LEAN – warning 68°F, 7mph SW (calm), 71% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 4.3 points favors the away starter. day after night

Forecast: San Francisco Giants +1.5 Model Estimate: 5.7% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.12

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

Drew Rasmussen vs Kevin Gausman · 2026-05-11T23:07Z

MEDIUM LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 5.5% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 Model Estimate: 5.5% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 0 high-edge games across today's 3-game slate
  • Strongest signal: SEA at HOU with 6.6% model edge

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