● 5 High
● 2 Medium
● 0 Low
San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Adrian Houser vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 2026-05-13T02:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 65°F, 7mph SW (calm), 78% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
Model Estimate: 32.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
St. Louis Cardinals @ Athletics
Andre Pallante vs Jeffrey Springs · 2026-05-13T01:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 76°F, 12mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (76°f). away traveled 1730mi
Forecast: UNDER 10.0
Model Estimate: 25.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Michael Lorenzen vs Paul Skenes · 2026-05-12T22:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 71°F, 5mph S (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.1 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5
Model Estimate: 24.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox
Stephen Kolek vs Erick Fedde · 2026-05-12T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 71°F, 10mph SW (crosswind)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (71°f)
Forecast: UNDER 9.5
Model Estimate: 19.3% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves
Colin Rea vs Grant Holmes · 2026-05-12T23:15Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 74°F, 8mph SE (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (74°f)
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 18.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers
Matt Waldron vs Brandon Sproat · 2026-05-12T23:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Away traveled 1733mi
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Model Estimate: 6.7% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds
Miles Mikolas vs Brady Singer · 2026-05-12T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 6mph SW (calm)
Model finds lean 5.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Cincinnati Reds -1.5
Model Estimate: 5.6% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 5 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
- Strongest signal: SF at LAD with 32.2% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
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