● 6 High
● 2 Medium
● 0 Low
Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets
Keider Montero vs Nolan McLean · 2026-05-14T17:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 63°F, 6mph W (calm)
Model finds strong 28.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 7.5
Model Estimate: 28.1% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Landen Roupp vs Emmet Sheehan · 2026-05-15T02:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 64°F, 7mph W (calm), 75% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 22.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
St. Louis Cardinals @ Athletics
Michael McGreevy vs Jacob Lopez · 2026-05-14T19:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 78°F, 4mph NW (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.1 points favors the away starter
Forecast: UNDER 9.5
Model Estimate: 17.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Chase Dollander vs Mason Montgomery · 2026-05-14T16:35Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 49°F, 11mph NW (blowing out), 72% humidity
Weather factor in play (49°f)
Forecast: UNDER 7.5
Model Estimate: 16.6% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Miami Marlins @ Minnesota Twins
Braxton Garrett vs Zebby Matthews · 2026-05-14T17:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 73°F, 16mph S (blowing in)
Away traveled 1512mi
Forecast: Minnesota Twins -1.5
Model Estimate: 15.3% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves
Ben Brown vs Chris Sale · 2026-05-14T23:15Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 71°F, 12mph NW (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (71°f)
Forecast: UNDER 7.5
Model Estimate: 15.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers
Griffin Canning vs Kyle Harrison · 2026-05-14T17:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Away traveled 1733mi
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Model Estimate: 7.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox
Kris Bubic vs Anthony Kay · 2026-05-14T23:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 56°F, 10mph E (blowing in)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Kansas City Royals -1.5
Model Estimate: 6.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 8-game slate
- Strongest signal: DET at NYM with 28.1% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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