● 5 High
● 4 Medium
● 0 Low
Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves
Brayan Bello vs Grant Holmes · 2026-05-17T17:35Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 86°F, 8mph SE (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (86°f)
Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model Estimate: 30.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
San Francisco Giants @ Athletics
Adrian Houser vs Jeffrey Springs · 2026-05-17T20:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 74°F, 20mph N (blowing in)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the home starter
Forecast: UNDER 9.5
Model Estimate: 23.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians
Brady Singer vs Gavin Williams · 2026-05-17T17:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 81°F, 5mph S (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.6 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Cleveland Guardians -1.5
Model Estimate: 20.6% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Miami Marlins @ Tampa Bay Rays
Eury Pérez vs Drew Rasmussen · 2026-05-17T16:15Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds strong 19.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Model Estimate: 19.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners
Lucas Giolito vs George Kirby · 2026-05-17T23:20Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds strong 15.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 7.5
Model Estimate: 15.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Zack Wheeler vs Paul Skenes · 2026-05-17T17:35Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 84°F, 9mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (84°f)
Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5
Model Estimate: 8.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels
Roki Sasaki vs Grayson Rodriguez · 2026-05-17T20:07Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 9mph SW (blowing out), 63% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (70°f)
Forecast: Los Angeles Angels +1.5
Model Estimate: 8.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.2
New York Yankees @ New York Mets
Elmer Rodríguez vs Freddy Peralta · 2026-05-17T17:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 88°F, 7mph SW (calm)
Model finds lean 7.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: New York Mets +1.5
Model Estimate: 7.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers
Kevin Gausman vs Jack Flaherty · 2026-05-17T17:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 83°F, 8mph S (blowing in)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5
Model Estimate: 7.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 5 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
- Strongest signal: BOS at ATL with 30.5% model edge
- 4 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
Unlock all 9 forecasts
Every forecast, confidence rating, and model context — 7 days free, then $4.99 for the first paid month and $9.99/month afterward.