● 8 High
● 2 Medium
● 0 Low
Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals
Sonny Gray vs Seth Lugo · 2026-05-18T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 75°F, 17mph SE (crosswind), 74% humidity
Weather factor in play (75°f)
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 25.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels
J.T. Ginn vs Walbert Ureña · 2026-05-19T01:38Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 68°F, 10mph SW (blowing out), 66% humidity
Weather factor in play (68°f). day after night
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 25.1% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
Trevor Rogers vs Shane McClanahan · 2026-05-18T22:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Model Estimate: 23.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs
Brandon Sproat vs Shota Imanaga · 2026-05-18T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 75°F, 8mph S (blowing out), 86% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 3.2 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (75°f)
Forecast: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Model Estimate: 19.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins
Tatsuya Imai vs Kendry Rojas · 2026-05-18T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 57°F, 6mph N (calm), 91% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Minnesota Twins -1.5
Model Estimate: 19.7% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals
Christian Scott vs Jake Irvin · 2026-05-18T22:45Z
HIGH
STRONG
↓
warning 96°F, 8mph S (calm)
Model finds strong 18.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 10.0
Model Estimate: 18.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
Patrick Corbin vs Ryan Weathers · 2026-05-18T23:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
↓
warning 79°F, 9mph SE (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (79°f)
Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5
Model Estimate: 17.3% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Robbie Ray vs Zac Gallen · 2026-05-19T01:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Day after night
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 15.7% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies
Nick Lodolo vs Andrew Painter · 2026-05-18T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 95°F, 10mph S (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (95°f)
Forecast: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
Model Estimate: 9.8% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.2
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Michael King · 2026-05-19T01:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 64°F, 8mph SW (calm), 70% humidity
Day after night
Forecast: San Diego Padres +1.5
Model Estimate: 9.5% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 8 high-edge games across today's 10-game slate
- Strongest signal: BOS at KC with 25.4% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
Unlock all 10 forecasts
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