● 3 High
● 1 Medium
● 0 Low
Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins
Lance McCullers Jr. vs Zebby Matthews · 2026-05-19T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 48°F, 10mph NW (blowing out), 80% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (48°f)
Forecast: Minnesota Twins -1.5
Model Estimate: 29.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.4
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
Dylan Cease vs Will Warren · 2026-05-19T23:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 93°F, 12mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (93°f)
Forecast: UNDER 8.5
Model Estimate: 17.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
Parker Messick vs Keider Montero · 2026-05-19T22:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 84°F, 25mph W (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (84°f)
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Estimate: 15.7% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies
Chase Burns vs Jesús Luzardo · 2026-05-19T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 98°F, 12mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (98°f)
Forecast: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
Model Estimate: 6.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 3 high-edge games across today's 4-game slate
- Strongest signal: HOU at MIN with 29.9% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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