● 2 High
● 2 Medium
● 0 Low
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Zach Agnos vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 2026-05-22T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Day after night
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 17.6% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
Joey Cantillo vs Casey Mize · 2026-05-21T17:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 60°F, 11mph NE (crosswind)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (60°f)
Forecast: UNDER 7.0
Model Estimate: 15.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins
Spencer Strider vs Sandy Alcantara · 2026-05-21T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 7.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Miami Marlins +1.5
Model Estimate: 7.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.2
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals
David Peterson vs Cade Cavalli · 2026-05-21T20:05Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 63°F, 13mph NE (blowing in), 74% humidity
Model finds lean 5.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Washington Nationals +1.5
Model Estimate: 5.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 2 high-edge games across today's 4-game slate
- Strongest signal: COL at AZ with 17.6% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
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