● 4 High
● 2 Medium
● 0 Low
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
Miles Mikolas vs Bryce Elder · 2026-05-22T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 86°F, 11mph S (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.5 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (86°f)
Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model Edge: 25.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Athletics @ San Diego Padres
Jeffrey Springs vs Walker Buehler · 2026-05-23T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 65°F, 7mph NW (calm), 76% humidity
Model finds lean 22.6% edge in this matchup
Pick: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 22.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Tomoyuki Sugano vs Michael Soroka · 2026-05-23T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.9 points favors the home starter
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants
Davis Martin vs Trevor McDonald · 2026-05-23T02:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 55°F, 12mph W (blowing out), 98% humidity
Weather factor in play (55°f). away traveled 1853mi
Pick: UNDER 7.0
Model Edge: 15.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
Jacob deGrom vs Grayson Rodriguez · 2026-05-23T01:38Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 66°F, 8mph SW (blowing out), 69% humidity
Weather factor in play (66°f)
Pick: Texas Rangers -1.5
Model Edge: 9.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles
Jack Flaherty vs Chris Bassitt · 2026-05-22T23:15Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 56°F, 8mph E (calm), 82% humidity
Model finds lean 8.5% edge in this matchup
Pick: Baltimore Orioles -1.5
Model Edge: 8.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 6-game slate
- Strongest signal: WSH at ATL with 25.0% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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