● 5 High
● 2 Medium
● 0 Low
Athletics @ San Diego Padres
J.T. Ginn vs Lucas Giolito · 2026-05-24T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 65°F, 6mph NW (calm), 74% humidity
Model finds lean 21.9% edge in this matchup
Pick: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 21.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
Kyle Leahy vs Chase Petty · 2026-05-23T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 71°F, 9mph SW (crosswind), 84% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.4 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (71°f)
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
Model Edge: 17.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox
Taj Bradley vs Jovani Morán · 2026-05-23T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 63°F, 11mph E (blowing in)
Model finds lean 16.4% edge in this matchup
Pick: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 16.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
Freddy Peralta vs Max Meyer · 2026-05-23T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 15.5% edge in this matchup
Pick: UNDER 7.5
Model Edge: 15.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
Jake Irvin vs Grant Holmes · 2026-05-23T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 79°F, 5mph S (calm), 74% humidity
Model finds lean 13.1% edge in this matchup
Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model Edge: 13.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
Andre Pallante vs Chris Paddack · 2026-05-23T17:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 71°F, 9mph SW (crosswind), 84% humidity
Weather factor in play (71°f)
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
Model Edge: 8.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
Roki Sasaki vs Robert Gasser · 2026-05-23T23:15Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Away traveled 1738mi
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
Model Edge: 6.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 5 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
- Strongest signal: OAK at SD with 21.9% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
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