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Sunday, May 24, 2026

6 games on the slate · 5 high-confidence games

5 High 1 Medium 0 Low

Athletics @ San Diego Padres

Luis Medina vs Michael King · 2026-05-24T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 65°F, 8mph NW (calm), 82% humidity

Model finds lean 28.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Estimate: 28.0% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins

Christian Scott vs Tyler Phillips · 2026-05-24T17:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 23.2% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.5 Model Estimate: 23.2% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

Foster Griffin vs Martín Pérez · 2026-05-24T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 83°F, 7mph SE (calm)

Model finds lean 20.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Model Estimate: 20.1% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals

Bryan Woo vs Seth Lugo · 2026-05-24T18:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 78°F, 3mph NE (calm)

Away traveled 1508mi

Forecast: UNDER 8.5 Model Estimate: 18.4% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays

Mitch Keller vs Dylan Cease · 2026-05-24T16:15Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 16.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 7.5 Model Estimate: 16.1% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies

Parker Messick vs Andrew Painter · 2026-05-24T17:35Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 58°F, 7mph NE (calm), 98% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 Model Estimate: 8.4% confidence gap Confidence Weight: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 5 high-edge games across today's 6-game slate
  • Strongest signal: OAK at SD with 28.0% model edge

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