● 8 High
● 1 Medium
● 0 Low
Seattle Mariners @ Athletics
Luis Castillo vs Aaron Civale · 2026-05-26T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 67°F, 15mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (67°f). day after night
Forecast: UNDER 10.0
Model Estimate: 28.3% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians
Zack Littell vs Tanner Bibee · 2026-05-25T22:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 62°F, 6mph N (calm), 86% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 3.1 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Cleveland Guardians -1.5
Model Estimate: 28.1% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants
Merrill Kelly vs Landen Roupp · 2026-05-25T21:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 60°F, 13mph W (blowing out), 76% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 3.4 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (60°f)
Forecast: San Francisco Giants -1.5
Model Estimate: 26.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers
Tatsuya Imai vs Kumar Rocker · 2026-05-25T23:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.6 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Texas Rangers -1.5
Model Estimate: 25.9% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets
Nick Lodolo vs Nolan McLean · 2026-05-25T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 71°F, 6mph W (calm), 81% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.7 points favors the home starter
Forecast: New York Mets -1.5
Model Estimate: 25.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals
Will Warren vs Michael Wacha · 2026-05-25T19:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 85°F, 10mph S (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (85°f)
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 22.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers
Matthew Liberatore vs Jacob Misiorowski · 2026-05-25T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 3.0 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Model Estimate: 17.2% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Tanner Gordon vs Emmet Sheehan · 2026-05-26T01:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 65°F, 10mph SW (blowing out), 63% humidity
Weather factor in play (65°f). day after night
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Estimate: 17.0% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres
Jesús Luzardo vs Randy Vásquez · 2026-05-25T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 12mph NW (blowing in), 66% humidity
Away traveled 2367mi
Forecast: San Diego Padres +1.5
Model Estimate: 6.4% confidence gap
Confidence Weight: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 8 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
- Strongest signal: SEA at OAK with 28.3% model edge
- 4 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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