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Saturday, June 6, 2026

13 games on the slate · 13 high-confidence games

13 High 0 Medium 0 Low

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

Nick Lodolo vs Matthew Liberatore · 2026-06-06T18:15Z

HIGH LEAN warning 90°F, 9mph SW (blowing out)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (90°f)

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Tampa Bay Rays @ Miami Marlins

Shane McClanahan vs Lake Bachar · 2026-06-06T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Zack Littell vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 2026-06-06T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 2.9 points favors the home starter. away traveled 1978mi

Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 Model Edge: 19.5% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers

Bryce Miller vs Keider Montero · 2026-06-06T17:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 81°F, 12mph W (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (81°f). away traveled 1932mi

Forecast: UNDER 8.5 Model Edge: 17.6% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays

Kyle Bradish vs Braydon Fisher · 2026-06-06T19:07Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 16.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 16.8% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers

Tanner Bibee vs Jack Leiter · 2026-06-06T23:35Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 16.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Texas Rangers -1.5 Model Edge: 16.8% Unit Sizing: 0.25

New York Mets @ San Diego Padres

Nolan McLean vs Griffin Canning · 2026-06-07T02:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 65°F, 6mph SW (calm), 87% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 2.7 points favors the away starter. away traveled 2436mi

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 16.7% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Chicago White Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies

Brandon Eisert vs Andrew Painter · 2026-06-06T20:05Z

HIGH LEAN warning 94°F, 14mph SW (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (94°f)

Forecast: UNDER 10.0 Model Edge: 16.5% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins

Luinder Avila vs Joe Ryan · 2026-06-06T18:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 86°F, 7mph N (calm)

Model finds lean 16.3% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Minnesota Twins -1.5 Model Edge: 16.3% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves

Braxton Ashcraft vs Spencer Strider · 2026-06-06T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 89°F, 8mph SW (blowing out)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.0 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (89°f)

Forecast: UNDER 8.5 Model Edge: 15.1% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Jack Kochanowicz vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 2026-06-07T02:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 68°F, 7mph SW (calm), 74% humidity

Model finds lean 14.7% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Model Edge: 14.7% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

Ranger Suarez vs Will Warren · 2026-06-06T23:35Z

HIGH LEAN warning 91°F, 13mph SW (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (91°f)

Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5 Model Edge: 14.6% Unit Sizing: 0.25

San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs

Landen Roupp vs Ben Brown · 2026-06-06T18:20Z

HIGH LEAN warning 74°F, 8mph NE (blowing in), 91% humidity

Away traveled 1851mi

Forecast: Chicago Cubs -1.5 Model Edge: 13.2% Unit Sizing: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 13 high-edge games across today's 13-game slate
  • Strongest signal: CIN at STL with 20.0% model edge
  • 6 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

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