StatcastEdge Forecast Briefs

← All Briefs

Monday, June 22, 2026

2 games on the slate · 2 high-confidence games

● 2 High ● 0 Medium ● 0 Low

Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

Merrill Kelly vs Andre Pallante · 2026-06-22T23:45Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 69°F, 8mph N (blowing in), 78% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 3.0

New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers

Gerrit Cole vs Framber Valdez · 2026-06-22T22:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 69°F, 10mph NE (blowing out), 65% humidity

Weather factor in play (69°f)

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 15.7% Unit Sizing: 2.85

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 2 high-edge games across today's 2-game slate
  • Strongest signal: AZ at STL with 20.0% model edge
  • 2 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

New forecasts every day at 9 AM ET — bookmark today’s page

Unlock all 2 forecasts

Every forecast, confidence note, and model context — $1 for 3 days, then $9.99/month unless canceled.