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Tuesday, June 23, 2026

15 games on the slate · 15 high-confidence games

15 High 0 Medium 0 Low

New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers

Carlos Rodón vs Casey Mize · 2026-06-23T22:40Z

HIGH STRONG warning 75°F, 11mph NE (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (75°f)

Forecast: Detroit Tigers (+103) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates

George Kirby vs Mitch Keller · 2026-06-23T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 75°F, 10mph NW (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (75°f). away traveled 2131mi

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates (+113) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals

Jesús Luzardo vs Zack Littell · 2026-06-23T22:45Z

HIGH STRONG warning 75°F, 1mph E (calm), 78% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 3.7 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Washington Nationals (+148) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

Brandon Sproat vs Nick Lodolo · 2026-06-23T23:10Z

HIGH STRONG warning 77°F, 6mph N (calm)

Model finds strong 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Cincinnati Reds (+106) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins

Justin Wrobleski vs Kendry Rojas · 2026-06-23T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 71°F, 6mph SW (calm), 75% humidity

Away traveled 1520mi

Forecast: Minnesota Twins (+152) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

Eduardo Rodriguez vs Kyle Leahy · 2026-06-23T23:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 82°F, 5mph NE (calm)

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (-108) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies

Sonny Gray vs Sean Sullivan · 2026-06-24T00:40Z

HIGH STRONG warning 83°F, 15mph E (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (83°f). away traveled 1763mi

Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+146) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 1.68

Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres

JR Ritchie vs Griffin Canning · 2026-06-24T01:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 71°F, 7mph NW (calm), 76% humidity

Away traveled 1887mi

Forecast: San Diego Padres (-105) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Athletics @ San Francisco Giants

Aaron Civale vs Robbie Ray · 2026-06-24T01:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 61°F, 13mph W (blowing out), 86% humidity

Weather factor in play (61°f)

Forecast: San Francisco Giants (-116) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels

Shane Baz vs Ryan Johnson · 2026-06-24T01:38Z

HIGH LEAN warning 74°F, 8mph SW (calm), 62% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 3.3 points favors the away starter. away traveled 2301mi

Forecast: Los Angeles Angels (+134) Model Edge: 19.3% Unit Sizing: 1.68

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

Parker Messick vs Sean Burke · 2026-06-23T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 66°F, 8mph NE (calm), 72% humidity

Model finds lean 18.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Chicago White Sox (+100) Model Edge: 18.8% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Texas Rangers @ Miami Marlins

Cal Quantrill vs Sandy Alcantara · 2026-06-23T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 18.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Miami Marlins (-148) Model Edge: 18.1% Unit Sizing: 1.68

Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays

Peter Lambert vs Shane Bieber · 2026-06-23T20:07Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 15.7% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays (-133) Model Edge: 15.7% Unit Sizing: 1.68

Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays

Luinder Avila vs Shane McClanahan · 2026-06-23T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the home starter

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 15.6% Unit Sizing: 1.19

Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets

Edward Cabrera vs Kodai Senga · 2026-06-23T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 70°F, 3mph SW (calm), 89% humidity

Model finds lean 14.2% edge in this matchup

Forecast: New York Mets (-113) Model Edge: 14.2% Unit Sizing: 1.68

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 15 high-edge games across today's 15-game slate
  • Strongest signal: NYY at DET with 20.0% model edge
  • 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals

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