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Wednesday, June 24, 2026

14 games on the slate · 14 high-confidence games

14 High 0 Medium 0 Low

Texas Rangers @ Miami Marlins

Jacob deGrom vs Eury Pérez · 2026-06-24T16:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Miami Marlins (+109) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies

Ranger Suarez vs Kyle Freeland · 2026-06-24T19:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 85°F, 9mph NE (blowing in)

Pitcher fip gap of 3.1 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+149) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels

Trey Gibson vs José Soriano · 2026-06-24T20:07Z

HIGH LEAN warning 80°F, 9mph SW (blowing out)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (80°f)

Forecast: Los Angeles Angels (-120) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Bryan Woo vs Braxton Ashcraft · 2026-06-24T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 80°F, 6mph SW (calm)

Away traveled 2131mi

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates (-111) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals

Aaron Nola vs Miles Mikolas · 2026-06-24T22:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 83°F, 5mph W (calm)

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Washington Nationals (+117) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays

Mike Burrows vs Trey Yesavage · 2026-06-24T23:07Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays (-154) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

Shane Drohan vs Rhett Lowder · 2026-06-24T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 82°F, 6mph W (calm)

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Cincinnati Reds (+127) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins

Shohei Ohtani vs Joe Ryan · 2026-06-24T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 73°F, 14mph W (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (73°f)

Forecast: Minnesota Twins (+158) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres

Martín Pérez vs JP Sears · 2026-06-25T00:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 71°F, 8mph NW (calm), 77% humidity

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: San Diego Padres (+118) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 1.68

Athletics @ San Francisco Giants

Gage Jump vs Tyler Mahle · 2026-06-25T01:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 60°F, 12mph W (blowing out), 87% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 3.0 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (60°f)

Forecast: San Francisco Giants (+112) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

Mitch Bratt vs Matthew Liberatore · 2026-06-24T23:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 83°F, 4mph W (calm), 74% humidity

Model finds lean 19.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (-113) Model Edge: 19.1% Unit Sizing: 1.68

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

Tanner Bibee vs Erick Fedde · 2026-06-24T18:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 72°F, 5mph SW (calm), 63% humidity

Model finds lean 18.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Chicago White Sox (+101) Model Edge: 18.1% Unit Sizing: 2.1

New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers

Ryan Weathers vs Tarik Skubal · 2026-06-24T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 76°F, 10mph S (blowing in)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Detroit Tigers (-140) Model Edge: 15.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays

Noah Cameron vs Griffin Jax · 2026-06-24T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 14.9% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays (-143) Model Edge: 14.9% Unit Sizing: 2.1

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 14 high-edge games across today's 14-game slate
  • Strongest signal: TEX at MIA with 20.0% model edge
  • 5 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

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