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Thursday, June 25, 2026

9 games on the slate · 9 high-confidence games

9 High 0 Medium 0 Low

Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Bryce Miller vs Bubba Chandler · 2026-06-25T16:35Z

HIGH LEAN warning 79°F, 11mph SW (blowing out)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (79°f)

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates (+131) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Athletics @ San Francisco Giants

Jeffrey Springs vs Landen Roupp · 2026-06-25T19:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 63°F, 12mph W (blowing out), 87% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 2.9 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (63°f)

Forecast: San Francisco Giants (-128) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers

Tatsuya Imai vs Troy Melton · 2026-06-25T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 80°F, 14mph W (crosswind), 66% humidity

Weather factor in play (80°f)

Forecast: Detroit Tigers (-110) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals

Cristopher Sánchez vs Cade Cavalli · 2026-06-25T22:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 89°F, 8mph S (calm)

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Washington Nationals (+159) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets

Matthew Boyd vs Freddy Peralta · 2026-06-25T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 76°F, 12mph SE (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (76°f)

Forecast: New York Mets (-108) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox

Cam Schlittler vs Connelly Early · 2026-06-25T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 75°F, 5mph NE (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.6 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Boston Red Sox (+145) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

Zac Gallen vs Michael McGreevy · 2026-06-25T23:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 88°F, 7mph NE (calm)

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays

MacKenzie Gore vs Kevin Gausman · 2026-06-25T23:07Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 19.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays (-148) Model Edge: 19.4% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays

Seth Lugo vs Casey Legumina · 2026-06-25T16:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 17.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays (-136) Model Edge: 17.1% Unit Sizing: 2.1

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 9 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
  • Strongest signal: SEA at PIT with 20.0% model edge
  • 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

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