StatcastEdge Forecast Briefs

← All Briefs

Friday, June 26, 2026

14 games on the slate · 14 high-confidence games

14 High 0 Medium 0 Low

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers

Spencer Arrighetti vs Keider Montero · 2026-06-26T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 75°F, 8mph NE (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (75°f)

Forecast: Detroit Tigers (-111) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays

Nathan Eovaldi vs Patrick Corbin · 2026-06-26T23:07Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays (-102) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

Zac Gallen vs Nick Martinez · 2026-06-26T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the home starter. away traveled 1786mi

Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox

Will Warren vs Payton Tolle · 2026-06-26T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 82°F, 9mph SW (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (82°f)

Forecast: Boston Red Sox (+102) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians

Luis Castillo vs Joey Cantillo · 2026-06-26T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 72°F, 4mph N (calm)

Away traveled 2020mi

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians (-108) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

J.T. Ginn vs Walbert Ureña · 2026-06-27T01:38Z

HIGH LEAN warning 70°F, 9mph SW (blowing out), 64% humidity

Weather factor in play (70°f). day after night

Forecast: Los Angeles Angels (+112) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres

Roki Sasaki vs Walker Buehler · 2026-06-27T01:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 67°F, 7mph W (calm), 74% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the home starter

Forecast: San Diego Padres (+126) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

Reynaldo López vs Trevor McDonald · 2026-06-27T02:15Z

HIGH LEAN warning 58°F, 10mph W (blowing out), 99% humidity

Weather factor in play (58°f). away traveled 2134mi

Forecast: San Francisco Giants (+107) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Taj Bradley · 2026-06-27T00:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 78°F, 7mph S (calm)

Model finds lean 19.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Minnesota Twins (-162) Model Edge: 19.8% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals

Max Meyer vs Michael McGreevy · 2026-06-27T00:15Z

HIGH LEAN warning 74°F, 5mph S (calm), 96% humidity

Day after night

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (-110) Model Edge: 19.4% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles

Andrew Alvarez vs Trevor Rogers · 2026-06-26T23:05Z

HIGH LEAN warning 91°F, 5mph W (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Baltimore Orioles (-133) Model Edge: 16.3% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Andrew Abbott vs Paul Skenes · 2026-06-26T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 78°F, 4mph W (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 Model Edge: 15.5% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

Stephen Kolek vs David Sandlin · 2026-06-26T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 64°F, 8mph NE (calm), 82% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 2.4 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Chicago White Sox (-130) Model Edge: 12.5% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

Colin Rea vs Jacob Misiorowski · 2026-06-26T23:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 2.7 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers (-255) Model Edge: 10.9% Unit Sizing: 2.1

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 14 high-edge games across today's 14-game slate
  • Strongest signal: HOU at DET with 20.0% model edge
  • 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

New forecasts every day at 9 AM ET — bookmark today’s page

Unlock all 14 forecasts

Every forecast, confidence note, and model context — $1 for 3 days, then $9.99/month unless canceled.