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Saturday, June 27, 2026

13 games on the slate · 13 high-confidence games

13 High 0 Medium 0 Low

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox

Gerrit Cole vs Jake Bennett · 2026-06-27T17:00Z

HIGH LEAN warning 72°F, 10mph E (blowing in), 77% humidity

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Boston Red Sox (+110) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Chase Burns vs Jared Jones · 2026-06-27T20:05Z

HIGH LEAN warning 75°F, 2mph N (calm), 85% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 1.5 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles

Foster Griffin vs Brandon Young · 2026-06-27T23:05Z

HIGH LEAN warning 76°F, 10mph S (blowing out), 86% humidity

Weather factor in play (76°f)

Forecast: Baltimore Orioles (-118) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians

Logan Gilbert vs Slade Cecconi · 2026-06-27T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 70°F, 4mph N (calm), 84% humidity

Away traveled 2020mi

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians (+132) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

David Peterson vs Kyle Harrison · 2026-06-27T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins

Michael Lorenzen vs Mike Paredes · 2026-06-27T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 81°F, 12mph SE (blowing in)

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Minnesota Twins -1.5 Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Randy Vásquez · 2026-06-28T00:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 71°F, 9mph W (crosswind), 75% humidity

Weather factor in play (71°f)

Forecast: San Diego Padres (+180) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

Jack Perkins vs Reid Detmers · 2026-06-28T01:38Z

HIGH LEAN warning 71°F, 9mph SW (blowing out), 68% humidity

Weather factor in play (71°f)

Forecast: Los Angeles Angels (-108) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers

Kai-Wei Teng vs Framber Valdez · 2026-06-27T17:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 75°F, 7mph E (calm)

Model finds lean 18.5% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Detroit Tigers (-130) Model Edge: 18.5% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

Michael Wacha vs Davis Martin · 2026-06-27T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 71°F, 11mph NE (crosswind), 87% humidity

Weather factor in play (71°f)

Forecast: Chicago White Sox -1.5 Model Edge: 18.5% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals

Ryan Gusto vs Andre Pallante · 2026-06-27T23:15Z

HIGH LEAN warning 85°F, 4mph W (calm), 70% humidity

Model finds lean 18.5% edge in this matchup

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (-134) Model Edge: 18.5% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

Bryce Elder vs Logan Webb · 2026-06-28T01:05Z

HIGH LEAN warning 62°F, 21mph NW (blowing out), 65% humidity

Weather factor in play (62°f). away traveled 2134mi

Forecast: San Francisco Giants (-129) Model Edge: 18.5% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

Jose Cabrera vs Cole Sulser · 2026-06-27T22:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Away traveled 1786mi

Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays (-149) Model Edge: 11.1% Unit Sizing: 1.68

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 13 high-edge games across today's 13-game slate
  • Strongest signal: NYY at BOS with 20.0% model edge
  • 5 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

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