● 14 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Brady Singer vs Mitch Keller · 2026-06-28T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 73°F, 3mph N (calm), 91% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates (-130)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays
Merrill Kelly vs Drew Rasmussen · 2026-06-28T17:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 3.1 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers
Hunter Brown vs Jack Flaherty · 2026-06-28T17:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 81°F, 9mph E (crosswind)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.5 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (81°f)
Forecast: Detroit Tigers (+118)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Jesús Luzardo vs Cionel Pérez · 2026-06-28T17:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 81°F, 3mph NE (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the away starter
Forecast: New York Mets (+130)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians
Emerson Hancock vs Gavin Williams · 2026-06-28T17:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 8mph N (calm), 70% humidity
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Cleveland Guardians (-109)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels
Aaron Civale vs Sam Aldegheri · 2026-06-28T19:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 73°F, 8mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (73°f)
Forecast: Los Angeles Angels (+106)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants
Chris Sale vs Robbie Ray · 2026-06-28T20:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 75°F, 12mph W (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.4 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (75°f)
Forecast: San Francisco Giants (+140)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
Emmet Sheehan vs Michael King · 2026-06-28T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 68°F, 7mph SW (calm), 73% humidity
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: San Diego Padres (+122)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays
Kumar Rocker vs Shane Bieber · 2026-06-28T17:37Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.5 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Texas Rangers +1.5
Model Edge: 19.0%
Unit Sizing: 1.68
Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals
Tyler Phillips vs Kyle Leahy · 2026-06-28T18:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 90°F, 6mph S (calm), 63% humidity
Model finds lean 18.3% edge in this matchup
Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (-123)
Model Edge: 18.3%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins
Ryan Feltner vs Connor Prielipp · 2026-06-28T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 14mph SE (blowing in), 87% humidity
Model finds lean 18.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Minnesota Twins (-145)
Model Edge: 18.2%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles
Zack Littell vs Kyle Bradish · 2026-06-28T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 83°F, 5mph SE (calm), 62% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.8 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Baltimore Orioles (-185)
Model Edge: 17.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox
Carlos Rodón vs Sonny Gray · 2026-06-28T23:20Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 7mph E (calm), 75% humidity
Model finds lean 15.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Boston Red Sox (-113)
Model Edge: 15.9%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox
Luinder Avila vs Anthony Kay · 2026-06-28T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 7mph E (calm), 88% humidity
Model finds lean 14.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Chicago White Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 14.2%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 14 high-edge games across today's 14-game slate
- Strongest signal: CIN at PIT with 20.0% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
Unlock all 14 forecasts
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