StatcastEdge Forecast Briefs

← All Briefs

Monday, June 29, 2026

11 games on the slate · 11 high-confidence games

11 High 0 Medium 0 Low

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays

Sean Manaea vs Trey Yesavage · 2026-06-29T23:07Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays (-123) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Athletics

Eric Lauer vs Gage Jump · 2026-06-30T01:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 91°F, 5mph NW (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 4.5 points favors the home starter. day after night

Forecast: Athletics (-102) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 1.68

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Tyler Mahle vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 2026-06-30T01:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Day after night

Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks (-128) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers

Nick Lodolo vs Robert Gasser · 2026-06-29T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 19.5% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Model Edge: 19.5% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies

Braxton Ashcraft vs Aaron Nola · 2026-06-29T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 90°F, 1mph E (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.5 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 Model Edge: 19.3% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox

Miles Mikolas vs Ranger Suarez · 2026-06-29T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 66°F, 7mph E (calm), 79% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 3.0 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Boston Red Sox (-163) Model Edge: 18.6% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

Sean Burke vs Shane Baz · 2026-06-29T22:35Z

HIGH LEAN warning 89°F, 6mph E (calm)

Model finds lean 17.9% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Baltimore Orioles (-133) Model Edge: 17.9% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

Sandy Alcantara vs Sean Sullivan · 2026-06-30T00:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 88°F, 10mph W (crosswind)

Pitcher fip gap of 3.2 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (88°f)

Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+122) Model Edge: 17.3% Unit Sizing: 1.68

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

Ryan Johnson vs George Kirby · 2026-06-30T01:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 3.2 points favors the home starter. day after night

Forecast: Seattle Mariners (-210) Model Edge: 17.2% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

Casey Mize vs Ryan Weathers · 2026-06-29T23:05Z

HIGH LEAN warning 83°F, 9mph SE (crosswind)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (83°f)

Forecast: New York Yankees (-142) Model Edge: 17.1% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians

Tyler Alexander vs Parker Messick · 2026-06-29T23:00Z

HIGH LEAN warning 85°F, 7mph NE (calm)

Model finds lean 15.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians (-142) Model Edge: 15.4% Unit Sizing: 2.1

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 11 high-edge games across today's 11-game slate
  • Strongest signal: NYM at TOR with 20.0% model edge

New forecasts every day at 9 AM ET — bookmark today’s page

Unlock all 11 forecasts

Every forecast, confidence note, and model context — $1 for 3 days, then $9.99/month unless canceled.