● 12 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians
Jacob deGrom vs Tanner Bibee · 2026-06-30T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 91°F, 12mph W (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (91°f)
Forecast: Cleveland Guardians (+105)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees
Tarik Skubal vs Cam Schlittler · 2026-06-30T23:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 92°F, 10mph SE (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (92°f)
Forecast: New York Yankees (-130)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays
Nolan McLean vs Kevin Gausman · 2026-06-30T23:07Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays (-113)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals
Griffin Jax vs Noah Cameron · 2026-06-30T23:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 94°F, 17mph S (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (94°f)
Forecast: Kansas City Royals (+116)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies
Eury Pérez vs Tanner Gordon · 2026-07-01T00:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 92°F, 7mph N (calm)
Away traveled 1723mi
Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+133)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 1.68
St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves
Matthew Liberatore vs Martín Pérez · 2026-06-30T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 96°F, 7mph NE (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model Edge: 19.9%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Landen Roupp vs Brandon Pfaadt · 2026-07-01T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks (-106)
Model Edge: 17.9%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
Erick Fedde vs Trey Gibson · 2026-06-30T22:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 93°F, 11mph S (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (93°f)
Forecast: Baltimore Orioles (-131)
Model Edge: 17.4%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros
Joe Ryan vs Mike Burrows · 2026-07-01T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 3.2 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Houston Astros (-101)
Model Edge: 16.4%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
Rhett Lowder vs Brandon Sproat · 2026-06-30T23:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 14.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers (-166)
Model Edge: 14.5%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox
Cade Cavalli vs Connelly Early · 2026-06-30T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 79°F, 7mph SW (calm), 70% humidity
Model finds lean 13.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Boston Red Sox (-132)
Model Edge: 13.4%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies
Bubba Chandler vs Cristopher Sánchez · 2026-06-30T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 91°F, 11mph SW (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (91°f)
Forecast: Philadelphia Phillies (-232)
Model Edge: 12.3%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 12 high-edge games across today's 12-game slate
- Strongest signal: TEX at CLE with 20.0% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
Unlock all 12 forecasts
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