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Wednesday, July 1, 2026

9 games on the slate · 9 high-confidence games

9 High 0 Medium 0 Low

Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians

MacKenzie Gore vs Joey Cantillo · 2026-07-01T17:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 92°F, 11mph W (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (92°f)

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians (-108) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

Troy Melton vs Will Warren · 2026-07-01T17:35Z

HIGH LEAN warning 97°F, 8mph SW (blowing out)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (97°f)

Forecast: New York Yankees (-135) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays

Freddy Peralta vs Braydon Fisher · 2026-07-01T19:07Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays (+100) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals

Shane McClanahan vs Seth Lugo · 2026-07-01T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 94°F, 16mph S (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (94°f)

Forecast: Kansas City Royals (+117) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers

Andrew Abbott vs Shane Drohan · 2026-07-02T00:00Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Trevor McDonald vs Zac Gallen · 2026-07-02T01:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) Model Edge: 19.1% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox

Andrew Alvarez vs Payton Tolle · 2026-07-01T17:35Z

HIGH LEAN warning 94°F, 9mph W (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (94°f)

Forecast: Boston Red Sox (-136) Model Edge: 18.2% Unit Sizing: 2.1

St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves

Michael McGreevy vs Reynaldo López · 2026-07-01T23:15Z

HIGH LEAN warning 97°F, 6mph E (calm)

Model finds lean 17.9% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Atlanta Braves (-128) Model Edge: 17.9% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

Max Meyer vs Kyle Freeland · 2026-07-02T00:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 90°F, 17mph NE (blowing in)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.9 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+140) Model Edge: 17.3% Unit Sizing: 2.1

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 9 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
  • Strongest signal: TEX at CLE with 20.0% model edge
  • 4 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

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