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Thursday, July 2, 2026

8 games on the slate · 8 high-confidence games

8 High 0 Medium 0 Low

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies

Jared Jones vs Alan Rangel · 2026-07-02T16:35Z

HIGH LEAN warning 99°F, 4mph NW (calm)

Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Philadelphia Phillies (-125) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 1.05

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

Davis Martin vs Slade Cecconi · 2026-07-02T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 94°F, 10mph W (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (94°f)

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians (+105) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals

Ian Seymour vs Stephen Kolek · 2026-07-02T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 94°F, 14mph S (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (94°f)

Forecast: Kansas City Royals (+112) Model Edge: 20.0% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

Framber Valdez vs Nathan Eovaldi · 2026-07-03T00:05Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Day after night

Forecast: Texas Rangers (-120) Model Edge: 19.9% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

Ryan Gusto vs Michael Lorenzen · 2026-07-02T19:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 88°F, 6mph E (calm)

Model finds lean 19.5% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+112) Model Edge: 19.5% Unit Sizing: 1.68

St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves

Dustin May vs Hurston Waldrep · 2026-07-02T23:15Z

HIGH LEAN warning 99°F, 7mph E (calm)

Model finds lean 19.3% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Atlanta Braves (-105) Model Edge: 19.3% Unit Sizing: 1.68

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Randy Vásquez vs Roki Sasaki · 2026-07-03T02:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 68°F, 8mph W (calm), 72% humidity

Day after night

Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Model Edge: 16.7% Unit Sizing: 2.1

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

Walbert Ureña vs Bryce Miller · 2026-07-03T01:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 12.7% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Seattle Mariners (-210) Model Edge: 12.7% Unit Sizing: 2.1

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 8 high-edge games across today's 8-game slate
  • Strongest signal: PIT at PHI with 20.0% model edge
  • 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals

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