● 10 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Baltimore Orioles @ Cincinnati Reds
Trevor Rogers vs Brady Singer · 2026-07-03T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 99°F, 7mph SW (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Cincinnati Reds (+107)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
Anthony Kay vs Gavin Williams · 2026-07-03T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 92°F, 10mph W (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (92°f)
Forecast: Cleveland Guardians (-129)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies
Logan Webb vs Ryan Feltner · 2026-07-04T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 90°F, 11mph E (crosswind)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.0 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (90°f)
Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+135)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros
Nick Martinez vs Spencer Arrighetti · 2026-07-04T00:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Day after night
Forecast: Houston Astros (-105)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Kyle Harrison vs Jose Cabrera · 2026-07-04T01:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the away starter. day after night
Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks (+140)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners
Dylan Cease vs Luis Castillo · 2026-07-04T02:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the away starter. away traveled 2066mi
Forecast: Seattle Mariners (+114)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
Andre Pallante vs David Peterson · 2026-07-03T20:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 81°F, 5mph E (calm), 94% humidity
Model finds lean 19.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Chicago Cubs (-125)
Model Edge: 19.9%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees
Mike Paredes vs Gerrit Cole · 2026-07-03T23:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 102°F, 9mph NW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (102°f)
Forecast: New York Yankees (-180)
Model Edge: 18.0%
Unit Sizing: 1.68
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals
Mitch Keller vs Foster Griffin · 2026-07-03T22:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 104°F, 8mph SW (calm)
Model finds lean 17.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Washington Nationals (-137)
Model Edge: 17.4%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Michael King vs Shohei Ohtani · 2026-07-04T02:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 7mph W (calm), 61% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
Model Edge: 16.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 10 high-edge games across today's 10-game slate
- Strongest signal: BAL at CIN with 20.0% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
Unlock all 10 forecasts
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