● 14 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals
Bubba Chandler vs Cade Cavalli · 2026-07-05T17:00Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 94°F, 4mph SW (calm)
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Washington Nationals (-125)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Baltimore Orioles @ Cincinnati Reds
Kyle Bradish vs Nick Lodolo · 2026-07-05T17:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 84°F, 4mph NW (calm), 73% humidity
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Cincinnati Reds (-101)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees
Joe Ryan vs Ryan Weathers · 2026-07-05T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 88°F, 4mph SW (calm)
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: New York Yankees (-125)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals
Aaron Nola vs Luinder Avila · 2026-07-05T19:00Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 89°F, 6mph N (calm)
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Kansas City Royals (+122)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros
Griffin Jax vs Peter Lambert · 2026-07-05T19:30Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Houston Astros (+111)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies
Tyler Mahle vs Tanner Gordon · 2026-07-05T20:00Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 95°F, 8mph NE (calm)
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+106)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Brandon Sproat vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 2026-07-05T20:00Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 20.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks (+108)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Miami Marlins @ Athletics
Eury Pérez vs Gage Jump · 2026-07-05T20:30Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 76°F, 10mph S (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (76°f)
Forecast: Athletics (-117)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
JP Sears vs Emmet Sheehan · 2026-07-05T23:20Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 10mph W (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (78°f)
Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners
Trey Yesavage vs Emerson Hancock · 2026-07-05T21:00Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 18.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Seattle Mariners (-123)
Model Edge: 18.8%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
Chris Murphy vs Tanner Bibee · 2026-07-05T18:00Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 83°F, 8mph N (calm), 68% humidity
Model finds lean 18.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Cleveland Guardians (-136)
Model Edge: 18.6%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
Matthew Liberatore vs Javier Assad · 2026-07-05T18:30Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 69°F, 5mph N (calm), 100% humidity
Model finds lean 18.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Chicago Cubs (-146)
Model Edge: 18.5%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels
Ranger Suarez vs Ryan Johnson · 2026-07-06T01:30Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 76°F, 9mph SW (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.8 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (76°f)
Forecast: Los Angeles Angels (+140)
Model Edge: 18.4%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers
Casey Mize vs Kumar Rocker · 2026-07-05T19:30Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 10.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Texas Rangers (+105)
Model Edge: 10.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 14 high-edge games across today's 14-game slate
- Strongest signal: PIT at WSH with 20.0% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
Unlock all 14 forecasts
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