● 7 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals
Cristopher Sánchez vs Noah Cameron · 2026-07-06T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 89°F, 6mph NE (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Kansas City Royals (+190)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Brandon Pfaadt vs Walker Buehler · 2026-07-07T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 73°F, 9mph NW (blowing in), 70% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the home starter. day after night
Forecast: San Diego Padres (-109)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants
Kevin Gausman vs Landen Roupp · 2026-07-07T01:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 59°F, 14mph W (blowing out), 87% humidity
Weather factor in play (59°f). away traveled 2262mi
Forecast: San Francisco Giants (-101)
Model Edge: 20.0%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals
Shane Drohan vs Dustin May · 2026-07-06T23:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 88°F, 6mph N (calm)
Model finds lean 19.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (+106)
Model Edge: 19.8%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals
Mike Burrows vs Miles Mikolas · 2026-07-06T22:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 93°F, 8mph N (blowing in)
Model finds lean 19.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Washington Nationals (-115)
Model Edge: 19.4%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Kyle Freeland vs Eric Lauer · 2026-07-07T02:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 73°F, 8mph SW (calm)
Day after night
Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers (-203)
Model Edge: 17.1%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
Cam Schlittler vs Griffin Jax · 2026-07-06T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays (-109)
Model Edge: 16.9%
Unit Sizing: 2.1
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 7 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
- Strongest signal: PHI at KC with 20.0% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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