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Thursday, July 9, 2026

4 games on the slate · 4 high-confidence games

4 High 0 Medium 0 Low

Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins

Bryce Miller vs Janson Junk · 2026-07-09T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Away traveled 2729mi

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 17.6% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Athletics @ Detroit Tigers

Jack Perkins vs Framber Valdez · 2026-07-09T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 84°F, 10mph W (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (84°f). away traveled 2076mi

Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5 Model Edge: 17.5% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets

Michael Wacha vs Sean Manaea · 2026-07-09T17:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 82°F, 10mph S (blowing out), 70% humidity

Weather factor in play (82°f)

Forecast: UNDER 9.0 Model Edge: 16.8% Unit Sizing: 2.85

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

Logan Henderson vs Andre Pallante · 2026-07-09T23:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 83°F, 6mph NE (calm), 66% humidity

Model finds lean 16.7% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.5 Model Edge: 16.7% Unit Sizing: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 4-game slate
  • Strongest signal: SEA at MIA with 17.6% model edge
  • 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals

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