● 9 High
● 3 Medium
● 0 Low
St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels
Hunter Dobbins vs Reid Detmers · 2026-07-22T20:07Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 87°F, 9mph W (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (87°f). away traveled 1572mi
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Edge: 19.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
Bubba Chandler vs Max Fried · 2026-07-22T23:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 88°F, 13mph W (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (88°f)
Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5
Model Edge: 17.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers
Anthony Kay vs Tyler Alexander · 2026-07-23T00:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Texas Rangers +1.5
Model Edge: 17.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners
Brady Singer vs Emerson Hancock · 2026-07-22T19:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.0 points favors the home starter. away traveled 1966mi
Forecast: Seattle Mariners -1.5
Model Edge: 16.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Eric Lauer vs Aaron Nola · 2026-07-22T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 80°F, 7mph W (calm), 64% humidity
Away traveled 2388mi
Forecast: OVER 9.5
Model Edge: 16.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves
Michael King vs Martín Pérez · 2026-07-22T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 88°F, 10mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (88°f). away traveled 1887mi
Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model Edge: 16.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Gage Jump vs Merrill Kelly · 2026-07-22T19:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 3.1 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Athletics (+105)
Model Edge: 15.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros
Sandy Alcantara vs Peter Lambert · 2026-07-23T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 14.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Houston Astros -1.5
Model Edge: 14.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Scott vs Logan Henderson · 2026-07-22T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 10.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Model Edge: 10.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs
Keider Montero vs Colin Rea · 2026-07-23T00:00Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 9mph NE (blowing in)
Model finds lean 9.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5
Model Edge: 9.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Griffin Jax vs Braydon Fisher · 2026-07-22T23:07Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 6.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 6.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Bailey Ober vs Slade Cecconi · 2026-07-22T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 71°F, 7mph NW (calm)
Model finds lean 5.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Minnesota Twins (+109)
Model Edge: 5.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 9 high-edge games across today's 12-game slate
- Strongest signal: STL at LAA with 19.1% model edge
- 4 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 2 high-edge spots
Unlock all 12 forecasts
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