StatcastEdge Forecast Briefs

← All Briefs

Friday, July 24, 2026

7 games on the slate · 4 high-confidence games

4 High 3 Medium 0 Low

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

Will Warren vs Jesús Luzardo · 2026-07-24T22:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 81°F, 6mph SE (calm)

Model finds lean 19.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Model Edge: 19.0% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Athletics @ Minnesota Twins

Jacob Lopez vs Zebby Matthews · 2026-07-25T00:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 83°F, 12mph S (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (83°f). away traveled 1570mi

Forecast: Minnesota Twins -1.5 Model Edge: 12.9% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers

Bryce Miller vs MacKenzie Gore · 2026-07-25T00:05Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Away traveled 1668mi

Forecast: Seattle Mariners -1.5 Model Edge: 12.8% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers

Beck Way vs Tarik Skubal · 2026-07-24T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 80°F, 7mph S (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5 Model Edge: 12.0% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

Trey Yesavage vs Patrick Sandoval · 2026-07-24T23:15Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 79°F, 9mph SE (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (79°f)

Forecast: UNDER 8.5 Model Edge: 8.7% Unit Sizing: 0.15

Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles

Grant Holmes vs Trevor Rogers · 2026-07-24T23:05Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 81°F, 6mph SE (calm)

Model finds lean 8.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Atlanta Braves (+105) Model Edge: 8.4% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Matthew Boyd vs Jared Jones · 2026-07-24T22:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 83°F, 6mph SE (calm)

Model finds lean 7.7% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates (-112) Model Edge: 7.7% Unit Sizing: 0.2

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
  • Strongest signal: NYY at PHI with 19.0% model edge

New forecasts every day at 9 AM ET — bookmark today’s page

Unlock all 7 forecasts

Every forecast, confidence note, and model context — $1 for 1 day, then $9.99/month unless canceled.