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Saturday, July 25, 2026

5 games on the slate · 4 high-confidence games

4 High 1 Medium 0 Low

Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

Ryan Feltner vs Robert Gasser · 2026-07-25T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 19.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: OVER 8.5 Model Edge: 19.4% Unit Sizing: 0.15

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

Dylan Cease vs Sonny Gray · 2026-07-25T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 77°F, 12mph E (blowing in)

Model finds lean 16.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 7.5 Model Edge: 16.4% Unit Sizing: 0.15

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Shota Imanaga vs Paul Skenes · 2026-07-25T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 85°F, 6mph SW (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.0 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 Model Edge: 16.0% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

Hunter Greene vs Andre Pallante · 2026-07-25T23:15Z

HIGH LEAN warning 94°F, 8mph W (calm)

Model finds lean 10.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (-111) Model Edge: 10.4% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles

Bryce Elder vs Brandon Young · 2026-07-25T23:05Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 81°F, 7mph E (calm)

Model finds lean 5.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 9.0 Model Edge: 5.4% Unit Sizing: 0.15

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
  • Strongest signal: COL at MIL with 19.4% model edge
  • 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals

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