● 9 High
● 3 Medium
● 0 Low
Athletics @ Minnesota Twins
Jeffrey Springs vs Connor Prielipp · 2026-07-26T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 94°F, 8mph SW (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.4 points favors the home starter. away traveled 1570mi
Forecast: Minnesota Twins -1.5
Model Edge: 18.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jameson Taillon vs Braxton Ashcraft · 2026-07-26T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 81°F, 4mph NW (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.3 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5
Model Edge: 18.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals
Andrew Abbott vs Kyle Leahy · 2026-07-26T18:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 98°F, 5mph W (calm)
Model finds lean 18.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
Model Edge: 18.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants
José Soriano vs Carson Whisenhunt · 2026-07-26T20:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 68°F, 19mph W (blowing out), 70% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (68°f)
Forecast: Los Angeles Angels -1.5
Model Edge: 16.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals
Kohl Drake vs Miles Mikolas · 2026-07-26T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 82°F, 2mph S (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the away starter. away traveled 1978mi
Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
Model Edge: 16.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
Luinder Avila vs Framber Valdez · 2026-07-26T17:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 81°F, 9mph SW (crosswind), 64% humidity
Weather factor in play (81°f)
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Edge: 13.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays
Parker Messick vs Drew Rasmussen · 2026-07-26T16:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 13.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 7.0
Model Edge: 13.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox
Ronel Blanco vs Erick Fedde · 2026-07-26T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 85°F, 4mph SW (calm), 65% humidity
Model finds lean 12.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Chicago White Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 12.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets
Emmet Sheehan vs Freddy Peralta · 2026-07-26T17:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 82°F, 6mph N (calm)
Away traveled 2453mi
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Edge: 10.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers
Logan Gilbert vs Jacob deGrom · 2026-07-26T18:35Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Away traveled 1668mi
Forecast: Texas Rangers (-106)
Model Edge: 9.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies
Will Warren vs Cristopher Sánchez · 2026-07-26T23:20Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 81°F, 6mph S (calm)
Model finds lean 5.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: New York Yankees (+162)
Model Edge: 5.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles
Reynaldo López vs Shane Baz · 2026-07-26T17:35Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 80°F, 4mph SE (calm)
Model finds lean 5.3% edge in this matchup
Forecast: OVER 8.5
Model Edge: 5.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 9 high-edge games across today's 12-game slate
- Strongest signal: OAK at MIN with 18.6% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 2 high-edge spots
Unlock all 12 forecasts
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