● 8 High
● 2 Medium
● 0 Low
New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox
Max Fried vs Noah Schultz · 2026-07-27T23:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 79°F, 14mph S (blowing in), 86% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.7 points favors the away starter
Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5
Model Edge: 19.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds
Slade Cecconi vs Chase Burns · 2026-07-27T23:00Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 94°F, 6mph SW (calm)
Model finds lean 19.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Cincinnati Reds -1.5
Model Edge: 19.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers
Kyle Bradish vs Keider Montero · 2026-07-27T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 75°F, 23mph N (blowing out), 86% humidity
Weather factor in play (75°f)
Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5
Model Edge: 18.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Merrill Kelly vs Mitch Keller · 2026-07-27T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 90°F, 9mph SW (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (90°f)
Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5
Model Edge: 15.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets
Martín Pérez vs Zac Thornton · 2026-07-27T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 11mph SE (blowing out), 67% humidity
Weather factor in play (78°f)
Forecast: New York Mets +1.5
Model Edge: 12.7%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
David Peterson vs Matthew Liberatore · 2026-07-27T23:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 102°F, 12mph W (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (102°f)
Forecast: OVER 9.5
Model Edge: 12.7%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Boston Red Sox @ Athletics
Payton Tolle vs Jack Perkins · 2026-07-28T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 92°F, 10mph SW (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (92°f)
Forecast: Boston Red Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 11.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels
Tatsuya Imai vs Walbert Ureña · 2026-07-28T01:38Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 80°F, 7mph SW (calm), 68% humidity
Day after night
Forecast: Los Angeles Angels (+102)
Model Edge: 10.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers
George Kirby vs Kumar Rocker · 2026-07-27T18:35Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Away traveled 1668mi
Forecast: Texas Rangers (+118)
Model Edge: 7.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants
Brandon Sproat vs Tyler Mahle · 2026-07-28T01:45Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 66°F, 21mph W (blowing out), 63% humidity
Weather factor in play (66°f). away traveled 1833mi
Forecast: OVER 8.5
Model Edge: 7.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 8 high-edge games across today's 10-game slate
- Strongest signal: NYY at CWS with 19.4% model edge
- 7 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 2 high-edge spots
Unlock all 10 forecasts
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