● 4 High
● 4 Medium
● 0 Low
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds
Paul Skenes vs Hunter Greene · 2026-07-31T22:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 90°F, 5mph SE (calm)
Model finds lean 17.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5
Model Edge: 17.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Nathan Eovaldi vs Hunter Brown · 2026-08-01T00:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Day after night
Forecast: Houston Astros -1.5
Model Edge: 13.7%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
Carson Whisenhunt vs Bradgley Rodriguez · 2026-08-01T01:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 6mph NW (calm), 88% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 3.5 points favors the home starter
Forecast: San Diego Padres -1.5
Model Edge: 13.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
Erick Fedde vs Nick Martinez · 2026-07-31T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Model Edge: 10.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
Foster Griffin vs Bryce Elder · 2026-07-31T23:15Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 90°F, 6mph W (calm)
Model finds lean 9.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Washington Nationals (+106)
Model Edge: 9.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies
Michael Wacha vs Tomoyuki Sugano · 2026-08-01T00:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 89°F, 6mph SE (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the away starter. day after night
Forecast: Kansas City Royals -1.5
Model Edge: 9.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Miami Marlins @ New York Mets
Janson Junk vs Freddy Peralta · 2026-07-31T23:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 83°F, 3mph E (calm)
Model finds lean 8.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: New York Mets -1.5
Model Edge: 8.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners
Zebby Matthews vs Bryce Miller · 2026-08-01T02:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter. day after night
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 8.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 8-game slate
- Strongest signal: PIT at CIN with 17.5% model edge
- Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot
Unlock all 8 forecasts
Every forecast, confidence note, and model context — $1 for 1 day, then $9.99/month unless canceled.