● 7 High
● 2 Medium
● 0 Low
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
Landen Roupp vs Michael King · 2026-08-02T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 79°F, 7mph SW (calm), 74% humidity
Model finds lean 19.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 19.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Miami Marlins @ New York Mets
Sandy Alcantara vs Robert Stock · 2026-08-02T17:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 84°F, 14mph SE (blowing out), 66% humidity
Weather factor in play (84°f)
Forecast: Miami Marlins (-116)
Model Edge: 18.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs
Gerrit Cole vs Colin Rea · 2026-08-02T18:20Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 72°F, 16mph N (blowing in), 92% humidity
Model finds lean 16.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: OVER 6.5
Model Edge: 16.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles
Zack Wheeler vs Kyle Bradish · 2026-08-02T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 84°F, 12mph SE (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (84°f)
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 15.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds
Mitch Keller vs Chase Burns · 2026-08-02T17:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 75°F, 5mph SW (calm), 81% humidity
Model finds lean 14.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Cincinnati Reds -1.5
Model Edge: 14.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Kumar Rocker vs Peter Lambert · 2026-08-02T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 13.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Houston Astros -1.5
Model Edge: 13.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies
Seth Lugo vs Kyle Freeland · 2026-08-02T19:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 100°F, 8mph E (crosswind)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (100°f)
Forecast: Kansas City Royals -1.5
Model Edge: 10.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners
Taj Bradley vs George Kirby · 2026-08-02T20:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 9.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 7.0
Model Edge: 9.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
Anthony Kay vs Griffin Jax · 2026-08-02T17:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 8.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Model Edge: 8.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 7 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
- Strongest signal: SF at SD with 19.5% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot
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