● 6 High
● 3 Medium
● 0 Low
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
Davis Martin vs Patrick Sandoval · 2026-08-04T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 79°F, 4mph SW (calm)
Model finds lean 16.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Edge: 16.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
Joe Ryan vs Randy Dobnak · 2026-08-04T23:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 95°F, 6mph SE (calm)
Model finds lean 15.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Edge: 15.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
Jared Jones vs Logan Henderson · 2026-08-04T23:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 15.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Model Edge: 15.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs
Tarik Skubal vs Javier Assad · 2026-08-05T00:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 5mph SE (calm), 78% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.4 points favors the away starter. away traveled 1741mi
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Edge: 13.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
Ryan Gusto vs Grant Holmes · 2026-08-04T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 82°F, 5mph SE (calm)
Model finds lean 11.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model Edge: 11.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies
Zack Littell vs Jesús Luzardo · 2026-08-04T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 84°F, 5mph E (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.4 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Washington Nationals (+230)
Model Edge: 10.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds
J.T. Ginn vs Brady Singer · 2026-08-04T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 88°F, 3mph SE (calm)
Away traveled 2027mi
Forecast: Athletics (+120)
Model Edge: 9.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees
Hunter Dobbins vs Ryan Weathers · 2026-08-04T23:05Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 75°F, 4mph S (calm), 76% humidity
Model finds lean 9.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (+150)
Model Edge: 9.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros
Trey Yesavage vs Hayden Wesneski · 2026-08-05T00:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 7.7% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays (+114)
Model Edge: 7.7%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
- Strongest signal: CWS at BOS with 16.6% model edge
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