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Wednesday, August 5, 2026

11 games on the slate · 8 high-confidence games

8 High 3 Medium 0 Low

San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers

Carson Whisenhunt vs Cody Bradford · 2026-08-05T18:35Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the home starter

Forecast: San Francisco Giants (+160) Model Edge: 18.1% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

Sean Burke vs Sonny Gray · 2026-08-05T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 83°F, 8mph SW (calm)

Model finds lean 15.5% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 15.5% Unit Sizing: 0.15

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners

Drew Anderson vs Bryan Woo · 2026-08-06T01:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Away traveled 1932mi

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 15.3% Unit Sizing: 0.15

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

Paul Skenes vs Kyle Harrison · 2026-08-05T23:30Z

HIGH LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 15.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Model Edge: 15.1% Unit Sizing: 0.25

New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians

Christian Scott vs Tanner Bibee · 2026-08-05T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 82°F, 8mph N (calm)

Model finds lean 14.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.5 Model Edge: 14.8% Unit Sizing: 0.15

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees

Andre Pallante vs Will Warren · 2026-08-05T23:05Z

HIGH LEAN warning 79°F, 6mph SE (calm), 68% humidity

Model finds lean 12.6% edge in this matchup

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (+138) Model Edge: 12.6% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

Eury Pérez vs Bryce Elder · 2026-08-05T23:15Z

HIGH LEAN warning 82°F, 10mph SE (crosswind), 64% humidity

Weather factor in play (82°f)

Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Model Edge: 11.3% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds

Jacob Lopez vs Rhett Lowder · 2026-08-05T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 91°F, 5mph W (calm)

Away traveled 2027mi

Forecast: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 Model Edge: 10.2% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

Eric Lauer vs Shota Imanaga · 2026-08-05T18:20Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 79°F, 7mph SW (calm), 72% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Chicago Cubs -1.5 Model Edge: 9.3% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles

Reid Detmers vs Trevor Rogers · 2026-08-05T22:35Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 84°F, 4mph S (calm), 77% humidity

Away traveled 2301mi

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 7.1% Unit Sizing: 0.15

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies

Nick Martinez vs Tomoyuki Sugano · 2026-08-05T19:10Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 81°F, 7mph NE (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.5 points favors the away starter. away traveled 1520mi

Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+151) Model Edge: 5.2% Unit Sizing: 0.2

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 8 high-edge games across today's 11-game slate
  • Strongest signal: SF at TEX with 18.1% model edge

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