● 6 High
● 3 Medium
● 0 Low
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
Cody Bradford vs Ryan Johnson · 2026-08-12T01:38Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 80°F, 9mph SW (blowing out), 61% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 3.3 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (80°f)
Forecast: Texas Rangers -1.5
Model Edge: 18.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox
Nick Lodolo vs Sean Burke · 2026-08-11T23:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 75°F, 4mph SE (calm), 92% humidity
Model finds lean 14.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Chicago White Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 14.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants
Hunter Brown vs Carson Whisenhunt · 2026-08-12T01:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 61°F, 13mph W (blowing out), 92% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (61°f)
Forecast: Houston Astros -1.5
Model Edge: 13.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals
Cristopher Sánchez vs Andre Pallante · 2026-08-11T23:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 99°F, 10mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (99°f)
Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (+162)
Model Edge: 13.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Tomoyuki Sugano vs Mitch Bratt · 2026-08-12T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 13.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+181)
Model Edge: 13.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees
Bryan Woo vs Ryan Weathers · 2026-08-11T23:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 83°F, 4mph SW (calm), 67% humidity
Away traveled 2401mi
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 10.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
Kyle Harrison vs Walker Buehler · 2026-08-12T01:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 77°F, 7mph NW (calm), 73% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.5 points favors the away starter. away traveled 1733mi
Forecast: UNDER 7.5
Model Edge: 7.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
Patrick Sandoval vs Dylan Cease · 2026-08-11T23:07Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter
Forecast: UNDER 7.0
Model Edge: 6.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals
Shota Imanaga vs Jake Irvin · 2026-08-11T22:45Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 83°F, 6mph S (calm), 74% humidity
Model finds lean 5.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Washington Nationals (+159)
Model Edge: 5.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
- Strongest signal: TEX at LAA with 18.0% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 2 high-edge spots
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