● 8 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
Payton Tolle vs Max Scherzer · 2026-08-13T19:07Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 3.8 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Boston Red Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 19.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins
Aaron Nola vs Taj Bradley · 2026-08-13T23:30Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Minnesota Twins +1.5
Model Edge: 19.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
Jacob deGrom vs Walbert Ureña · 2026-08-14T02:07Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 72°F, 7mph SW (calm), 75% humidity
Model finds lean 19.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 19.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Shane Drohan vs Roki Sasaki · 2026-08-14T02:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 8mph W (calm), 78% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the away starter. away traveled 1738mi
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
Model Edge: 19.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
Parker Messick vs Keider Montero · 2026-08-13T17:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 84°F, 4mph SW (calm)
Model finds lean 17.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 17.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals
Kevin Gausman vs Cade Cavalli · 2026-08-13T20:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 93°F, 8mph W (calm)
Model finds lean 14.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Washington Nationals (+140)
Model Edge: 14.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins
Braxton Ashcraft vs Tyler Phillips · 2026-08-13T17:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 10.3% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 10.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees
Logan Gilbert vs Max Fried · 2026-08-13T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 84°F, 10mph NW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (84°f)
Forecast: New York Yankees (-135)
Model Edge: 10.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 8 high-edge games across today's 8-game slate
- Strongest signal: BOS at TOR with 19.9% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot
Unlock all 8 forecasts
Every forecast, confidence note, and model context — $1 for 1 day, then $9.99/month unless canceled.