● 8 High
● 1 Medium
● 0 Low
Texas Rangers @ Athletics
Kumar Rocker vs Gage Jump · 2026-08-15T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 79°F, 11mph SW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (79°f)
Forecast: Athletics +1.5
Model Edge: 18.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds
Sandy Alcantara vs Chase Burns · 2026-08-14T22:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 85°F, 6mph N (calm), 67% humidity
Model finds lean 16.3% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Cincinnati Reds +1.5
Model Edge: 16.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
Kyle Bradish vs Steven Matz · 2026-08-14T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 14.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Baltimore Orioles (+161)
Model Edge: 14.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays
Gerrit Cole vs Shane Bieber · 2026-08-14T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.9 points favors the away starter
Forecast: New York Yankees (-147)
Model Edge: 14.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels
Seth Lugo vs Grayson Rodriguez · 2026-08-15T01:38Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 76°F, 8mph SW (blowing out), 62% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.5 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (76°f)
Forecast: Kansas City Royals (+110)
Model Edge: 14.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
Matthew Liberatore vs Clay Holmes · 2026-08-14T18:20Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 77°F, 14mph NE (blowing in), 84% humidity
Model finds lean 13.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Model Edge: 13.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants
Kyle Freeland vs Landen Roupp · 2026-08-15T02:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 61°F, 14mph W (blowing out), 86% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (61°f)
Forecast: OVER 7.5
Model Edge: 12.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros
George Kirby vs Peter Lambert · 2026-08-15T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Away traveled 1889mi
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 11.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jake Bennett vs Bubba Chandler · 2026-08-14T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 4mph SE (calm), 77% humidity
Model finds lean 9.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 9.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 8 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
- Strongest signal: TEX at OAK with 18.2% model edge
- 4 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 2 high-edge spots
Unlock all 9 forecasts
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